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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.06+3.13vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00+2.43vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.07+5.07vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.98+13.05vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.82+6.28vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.17-2.04vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz-0.83+0.07vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University-1.67+2.79vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-2.07+3.26vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-1.79+1.21vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-2.14+2.07vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-2.97+4.83vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-4.47+8.90vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-2.22-0.87vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.36-0.89vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-1.45-6.42vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-2.62-1.83vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-2.98-1.11vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Cruz-1.87-7.71vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-2.43-5.95vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.14-8.96vs Predicted
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23University of California at Davis-2.88-6.61vs Predicted
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24University of California at Los Angeles-2.75-8.34vs Predicted
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25University of California at Davis-3.39-6.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.13University of California at Santa Cruz0.060.2%1st Place
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4.43Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.1%1st Place
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8.07Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.070.0%1st Place
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17.05Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.980.0%1st Place
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11.28University of California at San Diego-1.820.0%1st Place
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3.96University of California at Santa Cruz0.170.2%1st Place
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7.07University of California at Santa Cruz-0.830.1%1st Place
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10.79San Diego State University-1.670.0%1st Place
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12.26Arizona State University-2.070.0%1st Place
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11.21San Diego State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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13.07Arizona State University-2.140.0%1st Place
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16.83University of California at Berkeley-2.970.0%1st Place
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21.9University of California at San Diego-4.470.0%1st Place
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13.13University of California at Irvine-2.220.0%1st Place
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14.11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.360.0%1st Place
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9.58San Diego State University-1.450.0%1st Place
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15.17University of California at San Diego-2.620.0%1st Place
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16.89University of California at San Diego-2.980.0%1st Place
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11.29University of California at Santa Cruz-1.870.0%1st Place
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14.05University of California at San Diego-2.430.0%1st Place
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13.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.140.0%1st Place
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16.39University of California at Davis-2.880.0%1st Place
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15.66University of California at Los Angeles-2.750.0%1st Place
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18.65University of California at Davis-3.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Sharp | 18.5% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Groom | 14.8% | 16.9% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Peralta | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 5.6% |
| JP Finnegan | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Devon Baker-Berry | 19.5% | 17.7% | 16.0% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dante Massaro | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Alcala | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Elias Ricken | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Beverly Schimmel | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Gardiner | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Gabriel Rousseau | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 5.8% |
| Marina Robalino | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 11.6% | 59.1% |
| Matthew Stank | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Griffin Vernon | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| julian stauffer | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maria Gunness | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 2.4% |
| Mackenzie Santos | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 4.7% |
| McQuaid Harkin-Goodrich | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Landon McAlister | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Daniel Gates | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Jack Skinner | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 3.6% |
| Katinka Lennemann | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 2.7% |
| Kamdyn Goosheh | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 18.4% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.