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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1San Diego State University-1.79+10.17vs Predicted
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2Arizona State University-2.14+11.08vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00+1.31vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.17+0.01vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.83+1.91vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University-1.67+4.77vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.98+9.81vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-2.22+5.39vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-2.07+3.28vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-1.87+1.60vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University-1.45-1.26vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.07-4.06vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.36+1.25vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-2.97+2.74vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.82-3.43vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.14-3.05vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-2.43-2.80vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-2.62-2.73vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-2.98-2.53vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles-2.75-4.41vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis-2.88-4.45vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-3.39-3.44vs Predicted
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24University of California at San Diego-4.47-2.37vs Predicted
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25University of California at Santa Cruz0.06-20.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.17San Diego State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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13.08Arizona State University-2.140.0%1st Place
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4.31Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.2%1st Place
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4.01University of California at Santa Cruz0.170.2%1st Place
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6.91University of California at Santa Cruz-0.830.1%1st Place
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10.77San Diego State University-1.670.0%1st Place
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16.81Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.980.0%1st Place
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13.39University of California at Irvine-2.220.0%1st Place
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12.28Arizona State University-2.070.0%1st Place
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11.6University of California at Santa Cruz-1.870.0%1st Place
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9.74San Diego State University-1.450.0%1st Place
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7.94Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.070.1%1st Place
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14.25Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.360.0%1st Place
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16.74University of California at Berkeley-2.970.0%1st Place
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11.57University of California at San Diego-1.820.0%1st Place
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12.95Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.140.0%1st Place
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14.2University of California at San Diego-2.430.0%1st Place
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15.27University of California at San Diego-2.620.0%1st Place
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16.47University of California at San Diego-2.980.0%1st Place
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15.59University of California at Los Angeles-2.750.0%1st Place
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16.55University of California at Davis-2.880.0%1st Place
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18.56University of California at Davis-3.390.0%1st Place
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21.63University of California at San Diego-4.470.0%1st Place
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4.2University of California at Santa Cruz0.060.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beverly Schimmel | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Gardiner | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Samuel Groom | 16.3% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Devon Baker-Berry | 18.8% | 15.8% | 16.3% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dante Massaro | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Alcala | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Gabriel Peralta | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 6.6% |
| Matthew Stank | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Elias Ricken | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| McQuaid Harkin-Goodrich | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| julian stauffer | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Vernon | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Gabriel Rousseau | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 5.2% |
| JP Finnegan | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Gates | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Landon McAlister | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Maria Gunness | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 1.6% |
| Mackenzie Santos | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 4.7% |
| Katinka Lennemann | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.6% |
| Jack Skinner | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 4.9% |
| Kamdyn Goosheh | 0.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 14.5% | 16.6% | 12.3% |
| Marina Robalino | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 13.1% | 56.0% |
| Isaac Sharp | 17.9% | 18.5% | 11.1% | 15.0% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.