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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.54+0.77vs Predicted
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2Hampton University1.47+0.54vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.45+1.26vs Predicted
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4Rutgers University-0.72+0.71vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-0.67-0.55vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-1.55-0.24vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.61-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.77Fordham University1.5450.7%1st Place
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2.54Hampton University1.4724.3%1st Place
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4.26Princeton University-0.455.7%1st Place
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4.71Rutgers University-0.724.8%1st Place
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4.45SUNY Stony Brook-0.676.7%1st Place
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5.76Syracuse University-1.552.0%1st Place
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4.51U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.615.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Thress | 50.7% | 29.0% | 14.1% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 24.3% | 31.4% | 22.1% | 13.2% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Berkley Yiu | 5.7% | 11.0% | 17.2% | 19.4% | 19.6% | 19.0% | 8.2% |
| Anish Jayewardene | 4.8% | 7.8% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 19.7% | 21.6% | 17.2% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 6.7% | 8.9% | 13.7% | 19.4% | 19.4% | 18.9% | 13.1% |
| Faith Otoole | 2.0% | 3.0% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 19.1% | 47.9% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 5.8% | 8.7% | 13.6% | 18.4% | 21.1% | 19.1% | 13.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.