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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00+3.12vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine-2.22+11.19vs Predicted
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3Arizona State University-2.14+9.71vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.06+0.09vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University-1.67+5.20vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University-1.45+3.36vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.17-3.20vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.98+8.72vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.07-1.60vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-1.87+1.24vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.14+1.75vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-1.79-1.05vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.82-1.78vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.36-0.47vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley-2.97+1.86vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine-2.14-3.38vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-2.98-0.46vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-2.43-3.93vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-3.39-1.04vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-2.07-7.96vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-2.75-5.28vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-2.62-7.04vs Predicted
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23University of California at Davis-2.88-6.88vs Predicted
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25University of California at San Diego-4.47-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.2%1st Place
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13.19University of California at Irvine-2.220.0%1st Place
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12.71Arizona State University-2.140.0%1st Place
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4.09University of California at Santa Cruz0.060.2%1st Place
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10.2San Diego State University-1.670.0%1st Place
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9.36San Diego State University-1.450.0%1st Place
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3.8University of California at Santa Cruz0.170.2%1st Place
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16.72Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.980.0%1st Place
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7.4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.070.1%1st Place
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11.24University of California at Santa Cruz-1.870.0%1st Place
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12.75Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.140.0%1st Place
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10.95San Diego State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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11.22University of California at San Diego-1.820.0%1st Place
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13.53Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.360.0%1st Place
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16.86University of California at Berkeley-2.970.0%1st Place
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12.62University of California at Irvine-2.140.0%1st Place
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16.54University of California at San Diego-2.980.0%1st Place
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14.07University of California at San Diego-2.430.0%1st Place
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17.96University of California at Davis-3.390.0%1st Place
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12.04Arizona State University-2.070.0%1st Place
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15.72University of California at Los Angeles-2.750.0%1st Place
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14.96University of California at San Diego-2.620.0%1st Place
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16.12University of California at Davis-2.880.0%1st Place
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21.83University of California at San Diego-4.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Groom | 17.0% | 17.4% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Stank | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Patrick Gardiner | 1.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Isaac Sharp | 17.1% | 17.4% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Alcala | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| julian stauffer | 3.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Devon Baker-Berry | 22.0% | 16.4% | 17.1% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Peralta | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 5.8% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McQuaid Harkin-Goodrich | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Daniel Gates | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Beverly Schimmel | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| JP Finnegan | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Vernon | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Gabriel Rousseau | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 4.6% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Mackenzie Santos | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 6.6% |
| Landon McAlister | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Kamdyn Goosheh | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 16.2% | 11.8% |
| Elias Ricken | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Katinka Lennemann | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 3.0% |
| Maria Gunness | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Jack Skinner | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 4.2% |
| Marina Robalino | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 13.1% | 56.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.