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📊 Prediction Accuracy
19.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.06+3.18vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00+2.42vs Predicted
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3San Diego State University-1.45+7.01vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University-1.67+6.89vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University-1.79+6.35vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.17-2.08vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-2.14+6.37vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.07-0.17vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.98+8.69vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.82+1.77vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-1.87+0.84vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-2.22+2.11vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay-2.99+4.96vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-2.07-0.88vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.14-1.48vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis-3.39+2.82vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-2.43-3.02vs Predicted
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19University of California at Irvine-2.14-5.54vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.36-5.37vs Predicted
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21California State University Monterey Bay-2.05-8.42vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-2.62-5.78vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles-2.75-6.31vs Predicted
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24University of California at Davis-2.88-6.66vs Predicted
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25University of California at Berkeley-2.97-7.40vs Predicted
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26University of California at San Diego-2.98-7.95vs Predicted
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27University of California at San Diego-4.47-3.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.18University of California at Santa Cruz0.060.2%1st Place
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4.42Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.2%1st Place
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10.01San Diego State University-1.450.0%1st Place
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10.89San Diego State University-1.670.0%1st Place
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11.35San Diego State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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3.92University of California at Santa Cruz0.170.2%1st Place
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13.37Arizona State University-2.140.0%1st Place
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7.83Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.070.1%1st Place
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17.69Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.980.0%1st Place
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11.77University of California at San Diego-1.820.0%1st Place
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11.84University of California at Santa Cruz-1.870.0%1st Place
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14.11University of California at Irvine-2.220.0%1st Place
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17.96California State University Monterey Bay-2.990.0%1st Place
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13.12Arizona State University-2.070.0%1st Place
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13.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.140.0%1st Place
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19.82University of California at Davis-3.390.0%1st Place
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14.98University of California at San Diego-2.430.0%1st Place
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13.46University of California at Irvine-2.140.0%1st Place
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14.63Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.360.0%1st Place
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12.58California State University Monterey Bay-2.050.0%1st Place
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16.22University of California at San Diego-2.620.0%1st Place
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16.69University of California at Los Angeles-2.750.0%1st Place
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17.34University of California at Davis-2.880.0%1st Place
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17.6University of California at Berkeley-2.970.0%1st Place
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18.05University of California at San Diego-2.980.0%1st Place
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23.64University of California at San Diego-4.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Sharp | 17.0% | 16.3% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Groom | 16.8% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| julian stauffer | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Juan Alcala | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Beverly Schimmel | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Devon Baker-Berry | 19.2% | 19.2% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Gardiner | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Peralta | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 4.6% |
| JP Finnegan | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| McQuaid Harkin-Goodrich | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Stank | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Philip Yang | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 5.1% |
| Elias Ricken | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Daniel Gates | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Kamdyn Goosheh | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 18.0% | 10.9% |
| Landon McAlister | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 2.7% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Griffin Vernon | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Phoebe Liermann | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Maria Gunness | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Katinka Lennemann | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 3.1% |
| Jack Skinner | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 3.3% |
| Gabriel Rousseau | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 5.1% |
| Mackenzie Santos | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 4.7% |
| Marina Robalino | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 12.5% | 56.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.