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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.54+0.82vs Predicted
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2Hampton University1.47+0.47vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.45+1.27vs Predicted
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4Rutgers University-0.72+0.73vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-0.67-0.57vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-1.55-0.30vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.61-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.82Fordham University1.5447.8%1st Place
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2.47Hampton University1.4725.4%1st Place
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4.27Princeton University-0.457.1%1st Place
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4.73Rutgers University-0.725.3%1st Place
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4.43SUNY Stony Brook-0.676.1%1st Place
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5.7Syracuse University-1.553.1%1st Place
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4.57U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.615.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Thress | 47.8% | 30.1% | 15.8% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 25.4% | 30.9% | 24.1% | 12.2% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Berkley Yiu | 7.1% | 9.7% | 15.2% | 20.9% | 20.0% | 17.8% | 9.3% |
| Anish Jayewardene | 5.3% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 17.3% | 19.8% | 21.9% | 17.3% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 6.1% | 9.0% | 14.5% | 18.6% | 21.1% | 18.9% | 11.7% |
| Faith Otoole | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 19.4% | 46.8% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 5.1% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 17.4% | 20.1% | 19.9% | 14.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.