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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota-0.55+0.57vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-1.76+0.65vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-2.03-1.03vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-3.24-0.80vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-2.64-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.57University of Minnesota-0.550.6%1st Place
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2.65Northwestern University-1.760.2%1st Place
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2.97Northwestern University-2.030.1%1st Place
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4.2Marquette University-3.240.0%1st Place
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3.6Marquette University-2.640.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fergus Munro | 60.2% | 26.0% | 10.4% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Luke Sadalla | 16.3% | 31.4% | 28.1% | 19.1% | 5.1% |
| Millie Rose Taub | 13.3% | 22.8% | 28.5% | 24.5% | 10.9% |
| Humbert Wirtz Jr. | 3.0% | 6.4% | 13.3% | 21.8% | 55.5% |
| Charlie Herman | 7.2% | 13.4% | 19.7% | 31.7% | 28.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.