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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota-0.55+0.58vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-1.76+0.67vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-2.64+0.62vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-3.24-0.81vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-2.03-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.58University of Minnesota-0.550.6%1st Place
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2.67Northwestern University-1.760.2%1st Place
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3.62Marquette University-2.640.1%1st Place
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4.19Marquette University-3.240.0%1st Place
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2.95Northwestern University-2.030.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fergus Munro | 61.3% | 24.0% | 11.1% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Luke Sadalla | 15.9% | 31.0% | 29.1% | 18.6% | 5.4% |
| Charlie Herman | 6.9% | 14.1% | 17.7% | 32.7% | 28.6% |
| Humbert Wirtz Jr. | 2.9% | 6.8% | 13.6% | 22.0% | 54.7% |
| Millie Rose Taub | 13.0% | 24.1% | 28.5% | 23.7% | 10.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.