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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota-0.55+0.59vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-1.76+0.68vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-2.64-0.41vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-2.03-2.04vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-3.24-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.59University of Minnesota-0.550.6%1st Place
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2.68Northwestern University-1.760.2%1st Place
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3.59Marquette University-2.640.1%1st Place
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2.96Northwestern University-2.030.1%1st Place
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4.18Marquette University-3.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fergus Munro | 59.8% | 26.0% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Luke Sadalla | 16.1% | 30.7% | 28.1% | 19.6% | 5.5% |
| Charlie Herman | 7.5% | 12.5% | 19.8% | 33.4% | 26.8% |
| Millie Rose Taub | 12.5% | 24.0% | 29.4% | 22.7% | 11.4% |
| Humbert Wirtz Jr. | 4.1% | 6.8% | 12.2% | 21.3% | 55.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.