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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University-0.79+0.94vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota-0.55-0.25vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-1.76-0.26vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-3.24-0.05vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-4.33-0.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.94Marquette University-0.790.4%1st Place
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1.75University of Minnesota-0.550.5%1st Place
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2.74Northwestern University-1.760.1%1st Place
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3.95Marquette University-3.240.0%1st Place
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4.62Northwestern University-4.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Erling | 37.1% | 37.3% | 20.4% | 4.8% | 0.4% |
| Fergus Munro | 46.3% | 34.9% | 16.2% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Luke Sadalla | 13.2% | 21.9% | 44.8% | 18.0% | 2.1% |
| Humbert Wirtz Jr. | 2.5% | 4.7% | 13.6% | 54.2% | 25.0% |
| Obinnaya Okezie | 0.9% | 1.2% | 5.0% | 20.6% | 72.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.