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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.72+0.98vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+0.72vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+0.95vs Predicted
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4Fordham University-0.99-0.19vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-1.30-0.67vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-1.97-0.72vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-2.56-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.98Hampton University0.7245.6%1st Place
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2.72U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.1522.8%1st Place
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3.95SUNY Stony Brook-0.609.0%1st Place
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3.81Fordham University-0.999.8%1st Place
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4.33Princeton University-1.306.7%1st Place
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5.28Rutgers University-1.973.8%1st Place
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5.93Syracuse University-2.562.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 45.6% | 26.5% | 16.2% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Langdon Wallace | 22.8% | 26.1% | 23.6% | 15.6% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 9.0% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 20.4% | 21.6% | 13.9% | 5.4% |
| Brendan Sheeran | 9.8% | 15.5% | 18.0% | 19.7% | 19.1% | 13.8% | 4.2% |
| Johnny Leadingham | 6.7% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 19.1% | 20.8% | 20.2% | 8.8% |
| Ralph Molinari | 3.8% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 17.2% | 29.2% | 26.8% |
| Laura Jayne | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 19.2% | 54.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.