← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Middlebury College-0.26+3.42vs Predicted
-
2University of Vermont0.19+1.67vs Predicted
-
3Williams College-0.60+2.13vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont0.76-1.26vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont-0.27-0.47vs Predicted
-
6McGill University-0.67-0.78vs Predicted
-
7Middlebury College-1.45-0.48vs Predicted
-
8University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08-4.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.42Middlebury College-0.260.1%1st Place
-
3.67University of Vermont0.190.2%1st Place
-
5.13Williams College-0.600.1%1st Place
-
2.74University of Vermont0.760.3%1st Place
-
4.53University of Vermont-0.270.1%1st Place
-
5.22McGill University-0.670.1%1st Place
-
6.52Middlebury College-1.450.0%1st Place
-
3.77University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penelope Weekes | 11.1% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 14.7% | 15.9% | 14.1% | 6.0% |
| William Denker | 16.5% | 16.6% | 15.8% | 17.3% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 1.7% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 17.1% | 19.2% | 14.9% |
| Audrey Commerford | 29.5% | 23.2% | 18.0% | 13.5% | 9.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Ethan Stabenow | 8.4% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 16.9% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 6.7% |
| Marguerite Deseau | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 18.7% | 16.6% |
| Helen Coughlin | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 16.2% | 48.9% |
| William Delong | 16.3% | 14.8% | 17.0% | 17.4% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 6.7% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.