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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College-0.26+3.42vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.76+0.73vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont-0.27+1.52vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.19-0.29vs Predicted
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5McGill University-0.67+0.23vs Predicted
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7Williams College-0.60-1.93vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.45-1.46vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08-5.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.42Middlebury College-0.260.1%1st Place
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2.73University of Vermont0.760.3%1st Place
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4.52University of Vermont-0.270.1%1st Place
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3.71University of Vermont0.190.2%1st Place
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5.23McGill University-0.670.1%1st Place
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5.07Williams College-0.600.1%1st Place
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6.54Middlebury College-1.450.0%1st Place
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3.77University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penelope Weekes | 10.0% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 12.4% | 7.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 30.3% | 21.9% | 18.9% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Ethan Stabenow | 11.1% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 8.0% |
| William Denker | 16.3% | 17.9% | 14.6% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 7.1% | 3.0% |
| Marguerite Deseau | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 20.5% | 15.2% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 19.2% | 14.0% |
| Helen Coughlin | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 17.2% | 48.5% |
| William Delong | 15.8% | 15.1% | 18.3% | 16.1% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 6.9% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.