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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.11+2.96vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont-0.28+0.67vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont-1.31+1.38vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont-1.86+1.32vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-1.93+0.44vs Predicted
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6McGill University-1.50-1.31vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-1.88-1.47vs Predicted
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8Williams College-1.69-2.89vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-3.37-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.96University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.110.2%1st Place
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2.67University of Vermont-0.280.3%1st Place
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4.38University of Vermont-1.310.1%1st Place
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5.32University of Vermont-1.860.1%1st Place
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5.44Middlebury College-1.930.1%1st Place
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4.69McGill University-1.500.1%1st Place
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5.53Middlebury College-1.880.1%1st Place
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5.11Williams College-1.690.1%1st Place
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7.9Middlebury College-3.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Perra | 15.8% | 14.4% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 0.8% |
| Ocean Smith | 30.7% | 25.7% | 17.1% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Will Broseman | 11.6% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 1.8% |
| Cameron Luck | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 17.0% | 6.3% |
| Aengus Onken | 6.6% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 10.6% |
| Alex Anderson | 9.9% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 3.0% |
| Kate Adams | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 15.9% | 16.1% | 8.6% |
| Max Harthorne | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 6.3% |
| Will Levy | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 14.6% | 62.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.