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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.58+2.38vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.32+1.87vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.85+2.08vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.08+3.09vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.12+1.92vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.35+0.24vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.71-1.71vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.77+1.33vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.25-2.33vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.16-2.28vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-0.46-2.63vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.94-2.09vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.50-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38Western Washington University1.580.2%1st Place
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3.87University of Washington1.320.2%1st Place
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5.08Western Washington University0.850.1%1st Place
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7.09Western Washington University0.080.1%1st Place
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6.92University of Washington0.120.1%1st Place
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6.24Western Washington University0.350.1%1st Place
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5.29University of California at Berkeley0.710.1%1st Place
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9.33University of Washington-0.770.0%1st Place
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6.67University of California at Berkeley0.250.1%1st Place
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7.72University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
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8.37University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
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9.91University of Washington-0.940.0%1st Place
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11.13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leif Hauge | 23.0% | 20.4% | 16.1% | 14.1% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stone | 19.0% | 16.4% | 16.7% | 13.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Turloff | 9.9% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Nathan Gerber | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 5.6% | 2.4% |
| Lhotse Rowell | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 1.7% |
| Alexander Turloff | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 10.4% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Stephanie Seto | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 15.5% | 19.9% | 12.3% |
| Michael McCulloch | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| matthew Huskins | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 5.7% |
| Emily Avey | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 7.7% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 20.8% | 21.5% |
| Sam Woodley | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 17.1% | 45.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.