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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.58+2.38vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.85+3.01vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.32+0.86vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.12+2.99vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.77+4.29vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.08+1.03vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.71-1.73vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.35-1.71vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.16-1.18vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon-0.46-1.47vs Predicted
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11University of Washington-0.94-1.37vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley0.25-5.23vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.50-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38Western Washington University1.580.2%1st Place
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5.01Western Washington University0.850.1%1st Place
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3.86University of Washington1.320.2%1st Place
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6.99University of Washington0.120.1%1st Place
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9.29University of Washington-0.770.0%1st Place
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7.03Western Washington University0.080.1%1st Place
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5.27University of California at Berkeley0.710.1%1st Place
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6.29Western Washington University0.350.1%1st Place
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7.82University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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8.53University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
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9.63University of Washington-0.940.0%1st Place
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6.77University of California at Berkeley0.250.1%1st Place
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11.14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leif Hauge | 22.4% | 21.7% | 16.0% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Turloff | 11.5% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Stone | 18.7% | 15.4% | 16.0% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lhotse Rowell | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 2.1% |
| Stephanie Seto | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 16.2% | 18.5% | 13.7% |
| Nathan Gerber | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 1.9% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 10.5% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Turloff | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| matthew Huskins | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 4.4% |
| Emily Avey | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 9.6% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 18.9% | 18.2% |
| Michael McCulloch | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Sam Woodley | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 17.0% | 46.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.