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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.72+0.94vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+1.93vs Predicted
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3Fordham University-0.99+0.83vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-1.30vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-1.30-0.62vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-1.97-0.76vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-2.56-1.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.94Hampton University0.7245.1%1st Place
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3.93SUNY Stony Brook-0.609.3%1st Place
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3.83Fordham University-0.9910.2%1st Place
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2.7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.1523.4%1st Place
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4.38Princeton University-1.306.7%1st Place
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5.24Rutgers University-1.973.6%1st Place
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5.97Syracuse University-2.561.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 45.1% | 28.7% | 16.5% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 9.3% | 12.6% | 17.8% | 20.0% | 21.1% | 14.0% | 5.1% |
| Brendan Sheeran | 10.2% | 13.1% | 18.2% | 22.2% | 18.4% | 13.5% | 4.3% |
| Langdon Wallace | 23.4% | 27.4% | 22.2% | 14.3% | 9.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Johnny Leadingham | 6.7% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 18.9% | 22.4% | 19.9% | 9.6% |
| Ralph Molinari | 3.6% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 16.1% | 28.1% | 27.3% |
| Laura Jayne | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 21.3% | 52.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.