← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Washington University1.58+2.35vs Predicted
-
2University of Washington1.32+1.85vs Predicted
-
3Western Washington University0.85+2.04vs Predicted
-
4University of Washington-0.16+3.80vs Predicted
-
5Western Washington University0.35+1.25vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Berkeley0.25+0.52vs Predicted
-
7University of Washington0.12-0.08vs Predicted
-
8Western Washington University0.08-0.97vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Berkeley0.71-3.60vs Predicted
-
10University of Washington-0.77-0.64vs Predicted
-
11University of Oregon-0.46-2.58vs Predicted
-
12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.50-0.92vs Predicted
-
13University of Washington-0.94-3.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.35Western Washington University1.580.2%1st Place
-
3.85University of Washington1.320.2%1st Place
-
5.04Western Washington University0.850.1%1st Place
-
7.8University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
-
6.25Western Washington University0.350.1%1st Place
-
6.52University of California at Berkeley0.250.1%1st Place
-
6.92University of Washington0.120.1%1st Place
-
7.03Western Washington University0.080.1%1st Place
-
5.4University of California at Berkeley0.710.1%1st Place
-
9.36University of Washington-0.770.0%1st Place
-
8.42University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
-
11.08University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.500.0%1st Place
-
9.97University of Washington-0.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leif Hauge | 24.4% | 19.0% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stone | 19.7% | 16.5% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adam Turloff | 10.2% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| matthew Huskins | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 4.0% |
| Alexander Turloff | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Michael McCulloch | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 0.5% |
| Lhotse Rowell | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 1.8% |
| Nathan Gerber | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 2.0% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Stephanie Seto | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 15.8% | 17.3% | 15.4% |
| Emily Avey | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 6.9% |
| Sam Woodley | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 10.8% | 15.8% | 46.6% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 21.1% | 21.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.