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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.58+2.37vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.32+1.83vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.25+3.69vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.77+5.44vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.71+0.30vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.35+0.26vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.94+2.64vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.08-0.99vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.85-3.95vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.16-2.24vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-0.46-2.55vs Predicted
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12University of Washington0.12-4.87vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.50-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.37Western Washington University1.580.2%1st Place
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3.83University of Washington1.320.2%1st Place
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6.69University of California at Berkeley0.250.0%1st Place
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9.44University of Washington-0.770.0%1st Place
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5.3University of California at Berkeley0.710.1%1st Place
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6.26Western Washington University0.350.1%1st Place
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9.64University of Washington-0.940.0%1st Place
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7.01Western Washington University0.080.1%1st Place
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5.05Western Washington University0.850.1%1st Place
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7.76University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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8.45University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
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7.13University of Washington0.120.1%1st Place
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11.08University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leif Hauge | 23.0% | 19.9% | 17.7% | 13.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stone | 17.8% | 18.6% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Michael McCulloch | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Stephanie Seto | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 14.3% | 20.2% | 15.0% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 10.2% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Turloff | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 15.6% | 21.0% | 18.5% |
| Nathan Gerber | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Adam Turloff | 11.4% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| matthew Huskins | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 5.1% |
| Emily Avey | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 8.4% |
| Lhotse Rowell | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Sam Woodley | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 16.8% | 45.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.