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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-0.16+6.75vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.58+1.30vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.32+0.85vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.35+2.39vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.85-0.08vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.12+0.92vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.25-0.49vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.71-2.65vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.77+0.41vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon-0.46-1.44vs Predicted
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11University of Washington-0.94-1.36vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.08-4.74vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.50-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.75University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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3.3Western Washington University1.580.2%1st Place
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3.85University of Washington1.320.2%1st Place
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6.39Western Washington University0.350.1%1st Place
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4.92Western Washington University0.850.1%1st Place
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6.92University of Washington0.120.1%1st Place
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6.51University of California at Berkeley0.250.1%1st Place
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5.35University of California at Berkeley0.710.1%1st Place
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9.41University of Washington-0.770.0%1st Place
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8.56University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
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9.64University of Washington-0.940.0%1st Place
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7.26Western Washington University0.080.0%1st Place
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11.13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| matthew Huskins | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 3.8% |
| Leif Hauge | 24.6% | 20.5% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Stone | 17.6% | 17.5% | 15.3% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Turloff | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Adam Turloff | 12.7% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Lhotse Rowell | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Michael McCulloch | 8.1% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Seto | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 16.0% | 18.7% | 15.4% |
| Emily Avey | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 9.6% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 19.0% | 17.8% |
| Nathan Gerber | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 3.3% |
| Sam Woodley | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 17.5% | 45.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.