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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.32+2.86vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.12+5.04vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.35+3.39vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.85+1.05vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.25+1.50vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.71-0.68vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.16+0.64vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University1.58-4.72vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.08-1.83vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.77-0.66vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-0.46-2.60vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.94-2.10vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.50-1.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86University of Washington1.320.2%1st Place
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7.04University of Washington0.120.0%1st Place
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6.39Western Washington University0.350.1%1st Place
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5.05Western Washington University0.850.1%1st Place
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6.5University of California at Berkeley0.250.1%1st Place
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5.32University of California at Berkeley0.710.1%1st Place
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7.64University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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3.28Western Washington University1.580.2%1st Place
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7.17Western Washington University0.080.1%1st Place
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9.34University of Washington-0.770.0%1st Place
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8.4University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
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9.9University of Washington-0.940.0%1st Place
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11.1University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Stone | 18.3% | 18.3% | 16.1% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lhotse Rowell | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 1.9% |
| Alexander Turloff | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Adam Turloff | 10.7% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Michael McCulloch | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| matthew Huskins | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 4.3% |
| Leif Hauge | 23.8% | 21.4% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gerber | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 2.8% |
| Stephanie Seto | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 15.3% | 18.2% | 14.7% |
| Emily Avey | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 7.0% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 22.0% | 21.3% |
| Sam Woodley | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 17.1% | 45.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.