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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.32+2.89vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.12+4.99vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.85+2.04vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.71+1.38vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.35+1.28vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.58-2.73vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.08-0.03vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.16-0.31vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-0.46-0.39vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.25-3.42vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.50-0.11vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.94-2.08vs Predicted
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13University of Washington-0.77-3.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.89University of Washington1.320.2%1st Place
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6.99University of Washington0.120.1%1st Place
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5.04Western Washington University0.850.1%1st Place
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5.38University of California at Berkeley0.710.1%1st Place
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6.28Western Washington University0.350.1%1st Place
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3.27Western Washington University1.580.2%1st Place
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6.97Western Washington University0.080.1%1st Place
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7.69University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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8.61University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
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6.58University of California at Berkeley0.250.1%1st Place
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10.89University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.500.0%1st Place
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9.92University of Washington-0.940.0%1st Place
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9.5University of Washington-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Stone | 19.2% | 16.3% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Lhotse Rowell | 5.3% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Adam Turloff | 10.0% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 9.1% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Alexander Turloff | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Leif Hauge | 24.2% | 21.7% | 16.5% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gerber | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| matthew Huskins | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 3.5% |
| Emily Avey | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 9.4% |
| Michael McCulloch | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Sam Woodley | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 17.9% | 40.4% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 20.3% | 21.4% |
| Stephanie Seto | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 18.6% | 16.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.