← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington1.32+2.90vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Berkeley0.71+3.41vs Predicted
-
3Western Washington University0.08+4.18vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University1.58-0.66vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Berkeley0.25+1.45vs Predicted
-
6Western Washington University0.35+0.27vs Predicted
-
7University of Washington0.12-0.12vs Predicted
-
8Western Washington University0.85-3.02vs Predicted
-
9University of Oregon-0.46-0.33vs Predicted
-
10University of Washington-0.16-2.30vs Predicted
-
11University of Washington-0.77-1.78vs Predicted
-
12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.50-0.91vs Predicted
-
13University of Washington-0.94-3.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.9University of Washington1.320.2%1st Place
-
5.41University of California at Berkeley0.710.1%1st Place
-
7.18Western Washington University0.080.0%1st Place
-
3.34Western Washington University1.580.2%1st Place
-
6.45University of California at Berkeley0.250.1%1st Place
-
6.27Western Washington University0.350.1%1st Place
-
6.88University of Washington0.120.1%1st Place
-
4.98Western Washington University0.850.1%1st Place
-
8.67University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
-
7.7University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
-
9.22University of Washington-0.770.0%1st Place
-
11.09University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.500.0%1st Place
-
9.91University of Washington-0.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Stone | 18.9% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Nathan Gerber | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
| Leif Hauge | 23.8% | 20.0% | 16.7% | 13.4% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Michael McCulloch | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Alexander Turloff | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Lhotse Rowell | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 1.8% |
| Adam Turloff | 10.3% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Emily Avey | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 9.4% |
| matthew Huskins | 5.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 7.7% | 4.9% |
| Stephanie Seto | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 17.5% | 12.7% |
| Sam Woodley | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 18.3% | 45.5% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 14.7% | 19.8% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.