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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.58+2.33vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-0.16+5.77vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.25+3.70vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.71+1.39vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.32-1.20vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.35+0.27vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.12-0.09vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.85-3.10vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.08-1.83vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.50+0.92vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-0.46-2.59vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.94-2.09vs Predicted
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13University of Washington-0.77-3.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.33Western Washington University1.580.2%1st Place
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7.77University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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6.7University of California at Berkeley0.250.1%1st Place
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5.39University of California at Berkeley0.710.1%1st Place
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3.8University of Washington1.320.2%1st Place
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6.27Western Washington University0.350.1%1st Place
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6.91University of Washington0.120.1%1st Place
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4.9Western Washington University0.850.1%1st Place
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7.17Western Washington University0.080.1%1st Place
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10.92University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.500.0%1st Place
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8.41University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
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9.91University of Washington-0.940.0%1st Place
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9.51University of Washington-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leif Hauge | 23.4% | 20.3% | 17.5% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| matthew Huskins | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 3.7% |
| Michael McCulloch | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 10.1% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Stone | 19.4% | 18.8% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Turloff | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Lhotse Rowell | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 1.9% |
| Adam Turloff | 11.4% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Gerber | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 2.7% |
| Sam Woodley | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 16.5% | 44.0% |
| Emily Avey | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 6.7% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 15.4% | 19.0% | 22.1% |
| Stephanie Seto | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 14.3% | 18.9% | 16.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.