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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.71+4.35vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.25+4.63vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.16+4.81vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.35+2.39vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.58-1.71vs Predicted
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6University of Washington1.32-2.14vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.12-0.07vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.85-3.09vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.50+1.95vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon-0.46-1.46vs Predicted
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11University of Washington-0.77-1.80vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.94-2.11vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.08-5.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.35University of California at Berkeley0.710.1%1st Place
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6.63University of California at Berkeley0.250.1%1st Place
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7.81University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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6.39Western Washington University0.350.1%1st Place
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3.29Western Washington University1.580.2%1st Place
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3.86University of Washington1.320.2%1st Place
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6.93University of Washington0.120.1%1st Place
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4.91Western Washington University0.850.1%1st Place
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10.95University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.500.0%1st Place
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8.54University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
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9.2University of Washington-0.770.0%1st Place
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9.89University of Washington-0.940.0%1st Place
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7.25Western Washington University0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Ingebritson | 9.6% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Michael McCulloch | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| matthew Huskins | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 3.4% |
| Alexander Turloff | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Leif Hauge | 25.0% | 21.0% | 15.4% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stone | 19.2% | 17.6% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lhotse Rowell | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| Adam Turloff | 11.7% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Sam Woodley | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 17.1% | 45.3% |
| Emily Avey | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 8.6% |
| Stephanie Seto | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 17.4% | 13.1% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 21.0% | 21.7% |
| Nathan Gerber | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.