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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.72+0.95vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+0.71vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+1.01vs Predicted
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4Fordham University-0.99-0.15vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-1.30-0.72vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-1.97-0.76vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-2.56-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.95Hampton University0.7244.8%1st Place
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2.71U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.1523.6%1st Place
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4.01SUNY Stony Brook-0.608.8%1st Place
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3.85Fordham University-0.999.4%1st Place
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4.28Princeton University-1.307.3%1st Place
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5.24Rutgers University-1.974.0%1st Place
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5.96Syracuse University-2.562.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 44.8% | 27.9% | 17.8% | 6.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Langdon Wallace | 23.6% | 27.1% | 21.3% | 15.8% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 8.8% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 20.1% | 21.4% | 15.2% | 5.7% |
| Brendan Sheeran | 9.4% | 13.6% | 18.6% | 20.6% | 21.1% | 12.2% | 4.5% |
| Johnny Leadingham | 7.3% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 18.1% | 21.5% | 19.4% | 8.6% |
| Ralph Molinari | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 16.7% | 29.6% | 25.7% |
| Laura Jayne | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 19.6% | 54.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.