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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Washington0.43+1.57vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-1.01+4.41vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.41+1.67vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-1.38+3.49vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.82+0.75vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.77-0.35vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.13-3.10vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.64-2.71vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-1.04-2.36vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.90-3.90vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-0.50-6.32vs Predicted
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13University of Washington-1.43-4.27vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.24-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.57University of Washington0.430.2%1st Place
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7.41Western Washington University-1.010.1%1st Place
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5.67University of Washington-0.410.1%1st Place
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8.49University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
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6.75University of Washington-0.820.1%1st Place
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6.65University of Washington-0.770.1%1st Place
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4.9Western Washington University-0.130.1%1st Place
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6.29University of California at Berkeley-0.640.1%1st Place
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7.64University of Washington-1.040.1%1st Place
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7.1University of California at Berkeley-0.900.1%1st Place
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5.68Western Washington University-0.500.1%1st Place
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8.73University of Washington-1.430.0%1st Place
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12.13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Miller | 22.7% | 17.8% | 16.5% | 14.0% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Anna Morrow | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 2.6% |
| Sammy Farkas | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Sadie Creemer | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 15.1% | 16.8% | 5.5% |
| Jeffrey Kriegh | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 1.6% |
| Liam Boettcher | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 0.8% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 13.5% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Ethan Lisle | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Kieran Lyons | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 3.5% |
| Aivan Durfee | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 2.6% |
| Caroline Hurley | 8.2% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Renee Chien | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 19.2% | 7.2% |
| Emma Frank | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 9.5% | 74.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.