← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
2University of Washington-1.04+5.49vs Predicted
-
3Western Washington University-0.13+1.93vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Berkeley-0.90+3.14vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Berkeley-0.64+1.35vs Predicted
-
6University of Washington-0.82+0.80vs Predicted
-
7University of Washington0.43-3.51vs Predicted
-
8University of Washington-0.77-1.37vs Predicted
-
9Western Washington University-1.01-1.58vs Predicted
-
10University of Washington-0.41-4.25vs Predicted
-
11University of Oregon-1.38-2.58vs Predicted
-
12Western Washington University-0.50-6.31vs Predicted
-
13University of Washington-1.43-4.24vs Predicted
-
14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.24-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.49University of Washington-1.040.1%1st Place
-
4.93Western Washington University-0.130.1%1st Place
-
7.14University of California at Berkeley-0.900.0%1st Place
-
6.35University of California at Berkeley-0.640.1%1st Place
-
6.8University of Washington-0.820.1%1st Place
-
3.49University of Washington0.430.2%1st Place
-
6.63University of Washington-0.770.1%1st Place
-
7.42Western Washington University-1.010.0%1st Place
-
5.75University of Washington-0.410.1%1st Place
-
8.42University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
-
5.69Western Washington University-0.500.1%1st Place
-
8.76University of Washington-1.430.0%1st Place
-
12.15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieran Lyons | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 2.1% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 12.9% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Aivan Durfee | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 1.8% |
| Ethan Lisle | 6.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Jeffrey Kriegh | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 1.8% |
| Maxwell Miller | 23.8% | 21.3% | 14.4% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Liam Boettcher | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 1.3% |
| Anna Morrow | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 1.8% |
| Sammy Farkas | 9.9% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Sadie Creemer | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 17.8% | 6.5% |
| Caroline Hurley | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Renee Chien | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 20.5% | 7.6% |
| Emma Frank | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 4.7% | 9.8% | 74.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.