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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Western Washington University-0.13+2.92vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-1.43+5.62vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-0.90+3.14vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.77+1.73vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.82+0.74vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.41-1.37vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-1.04-0.61vs Predicted
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9University of Washington0.43-5.49vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon-1.38-1.47vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.50-5.09vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-1.01-4.75vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-0.64-6.52vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.24-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.92Western Washington University-0.130.1%1st Place
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8.62University of Washington-1.430.0%1st Place
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7.14University of California at Berkeley-0.900.0%1st Place
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6.73University of Washington-0.770.1%1st Place
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6.74University of Washington-0.820.1%1st Place
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5.63University of Washington-0.410.1%1st Place
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7.39University of Washington-1.040.1%1st Place
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3.51University of Washington0.430.2%1st Place
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8.53University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
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5.91Western Washington University-0.500.1%1st Place
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7.25Western Washington University-1.010.1%1st Place
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6.48University of California at Berkeley-0.640.1%1st Place
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12.15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Blakemore | 13.0% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Renee Chien | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 19.7% | 6.2% |
| Aivan Durfee | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 1.6% |
| Liam Boettcher | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 1.6% |
| Jeffrey Kriegh | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 1.6% |
| Sammy Farkas | 9.4% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Kieran Lyons | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 2.2% |
| Maxwell Miller | 22.6% | 20.5% | 15.3% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Creemer | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 18.8% | 6.4% |
| Caroline Hurley | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Anna Morrow | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 2.8% |
| Ethan Lisle | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
| Emma Frank | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 8.9% | 75.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.