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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley-0.64+5.36vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-0.41+3.73vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.13+1.97vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.50+1.93vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.43-1.52vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.77+0.65vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-1.38+1.30vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-0.90-0.97vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-1.43-0.36vs Predicted
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11University of Washington-0.82-4.11vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-1.04-4.70vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-1.01-5.43vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.24-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.36University of California at Berkeley-0.640.1%1st Place
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5.73University of Washington-0.410.1%1st Place
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4.97Western Washington University-0.130.1%1st Place
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5.93Western Washington University-0.500.1%1st Place
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3.48University of Washington0.430.2%1st Place
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6.65University of Washington-0.770.1%1st Place
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8.3University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
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7.03University of California at Berkeley-0.900.1%1st Place
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8.64University of Washington-1.430.0%1st Place
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6.89University of Washington-0.820.1%1st Place
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7.3University of Washington-1.040.0%1st Place
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7.57Western Washington University-1.010.0%1st Place
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12.15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Lisle | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Sammy Farkas | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 11.1% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Hurley | 9.6% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| Maxwell Miller | 24.2% | 20.7% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam Boettcher | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 1.2% |
| Sadie Creemer | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 17.8% | 5.3% |
| Aivan Durfee | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 1.6% |
| Renee Chien | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 20.1% | 7.0% |
| Jeffrey Kriegh | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 2.9% |
| Kieran Lyons | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 2.8% |
| Anna Morrow | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 2.2% |
| Emma Frank | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 9.5% | 74.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.