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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.43+2.55vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-1.01+4.47vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.50+1.96vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.13-0.06vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.64+0.25vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.41-1.38vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-0.90-1.01vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-1.04-1.55vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-1.43-1.33vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-1.38-2.59vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.77-5.46vs Predicted
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13University of Washington-0.82-5.98vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.24-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55University of Washington0.430.2%1st Place
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7.47Western Washington University-1.010.1%1st Place
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5.96Western Washington University-0.500.1%1st Place
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4.94Western Washington University-0.130.1%1st Place
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6.25University of California at Berkeley-0.640.1%1st Place
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5.62University of Washington-0.410.1%1st Place
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6.99University of California at Berkeley-0.900.1%1st Place
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7.45University of Washington-1.040.0%1st Place
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8.67University of Washington-1.430.0%1st Place
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8.41University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
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6.54University of Washington-0.770.1%1st Place
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7.02University of Washington-0.820.1%1st Place
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12.14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Miller | 22.1% | 18.9% | 17.7% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Anna Morrow | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 2.3% |
| Caroline Hurley | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 13.0% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Ethan Lisle | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 0.9% |
| Sammy Farkas | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Aivan Durfee | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 1.9% |
| Kieran Lyons | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 1.9% |
| Renee Chien | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 18.7% | 7.1% |
| Sadie Creemer | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 18.6% | 6.4% |
| Liam Boettcher | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 1.3% |
| Jeffrey Kriegh | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 1.5% |
| Emma Frank | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 10.1% | 75.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.