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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.43+2.56vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.13+1.94vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.50+1.99vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.64+1.37vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.90+0.98vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-1.01+0.33vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.77-1.39vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.41-3.32vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon-1.38-1.44vs Predicted
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11University of Washington-1.43-2.48vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.82-5.36vs Predicted
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13University of Washington-1.04-5.31vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.24-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.56University of Washington0.430.2%1st Place
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4.94Western Washington University-0.130.1%1st Place
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5.99Western Washington University-0.500.1%1st Place
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6.37University of California at Berkeley-0.640.1%1st Place
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6.98University of California at Berkeley-0.900.1%1st Place
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7.33Western Washington University-1.010.1%1st Place
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6.61University of Washington-0.770.1%1st Place
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5.68University of Washington-0.410.1%1st Place
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8.56University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
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8.52University of Washington-1.430.0%1st Place
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6.64University of Washington-0.820.1%1st Place
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7.69University of Washington-1.040.0%1st Place
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12.13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Miller | 22.8% | 18.4% | 16.2% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 12.6% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Hurley | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Ethan Lisle | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| Aivan Durfee | 7.4% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 2.2% |
| Anna Morrow | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 2.4% |
| Liam Boettcher | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 1.1% |
| Sammy Farkas | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Sadie Creemer | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 18.0% | 6.1% |
| Renee Chien | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 18.1% | 7.2% |
| Jeffrey Kriegh | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 1.6% |
| Kieran Lyons | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 2.6% |
| Emma Frank | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 9.7% | 74.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.