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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Washington-0.82+4.80vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-0.64+3.38vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.43-0.44vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-1.38+3.50vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.50-0.13vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.41-1.39vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-1.01-0.73vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.90-2.01vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.77-3.19vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.13-6.09vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-1.43-3.54vs Predicted
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13University of Washington-1.04-5.33vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.24-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.8University of Washington-0.820.1%1st Place
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6.38University of California at Berkeley-0.640.1%1st Place
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3.56University of Washington0.430.2%1st Place
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8.5University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
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5.87Western Washington University-0.500.1%1st Place
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5.61University of Washington-0.410.1%1st Place
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7.27Western Washington University-1.010.1%1st Place
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6.99University of California at Berkeley-0.900.1%1st Place
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6.81University of Washington-0.770.1%1st Place
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4.91Western Washington University-0.130.1%1st Place
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8.46University of Washington-1.430.0%1st Place
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7.67University of Washington-1.040.0%1st Place
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12.17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Kriegh | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 1.4% |
| Ethan Lisle | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Maxwell Miller | 22.7% | 18.9% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sadie Creemer | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 18.8% | 5.9% |
| Caroline Hurley | 8.8% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Sammy Farkas | 9.8% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Anna Morrow | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 2.2% |
| Aivan Durfee | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 1.3% |
| Liam Boettcher | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 2.1% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 13.7% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Renee Chien | 3.5% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 17.2% | 6.2% |
| Kieran Lyons | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 3.0% |
| Emma Frank | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 9.4% | 75.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.