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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of California at Berkeley-0.64+4.37vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-0.90+4.15vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.43-0.44vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.50+0.91vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.13-1.12vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.77-0.35vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-1.04-0.58vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.82-2.23vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon-1.38-1.43vs Predicted
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11University of Washington-0.41-5.37vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-1.43-3.56vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.24-0.90vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-1.01-6.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.37University of California at Berkeley-0.640.1%1st Place
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7.15University of California at Berkeley-0.900.1%1st Place
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3.56University of Washington0.430.2%1st Place
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5.91Western Washington University-0.500.1%1st Place
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4.88Western Washington University-0.130.1%1st Place
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6.65University of Washington-0.770.1%1st Place
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7.42University of Washington-1.040.1%1st Place
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6.77University of Washington-0.820.1%1st Place
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8.57University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
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5.63University of Washington-0.410.1%1st Place
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8.44University of Washington-1.430.0%1st Place
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12.1University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.240.0%1st Place
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7.54Western Washington University-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Lisle | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Aivan Durfee | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 1.9% |
| Maxwell Miller | 22.8% | 18.9% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Hurley | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 13.0% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Liam Boettcher | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 1.4% |
| Kieran Lyons | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 2.8% |
| Jeffrey Kriegh | 6.1% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 1.5% |
| Sadie Creemer | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 18.7% | 6.8% |
| Sammy Farkas | 10.3% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Renee Chien | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 16.2% | 6.5% |
| Emma Frank | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 9.3% | 73.8% |
| Anna Morrow | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.