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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.72+1.29vs Predicted
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2Fordham University0.69+0.13vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+0.06vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+0.36vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-1.30-0.34vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-1.97-0.55vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-2.56-0.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.29Hampton University0.7231.6%1st Place
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2.13Fordham University0.6937.0%1st Place
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3.06U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.1516.0%1st Place
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4.36SUNY Stony Brook-0.606.5%1st Place
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4.66Princeton University-1.304.7%1st Place
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5.45Rutgers University-1.972.9%1st Place
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6.06Syracuse University-2.561.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 31.6% | 29.3% | 23.6% | 10.7% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| James Owen | 37.0% | 30.1% | 19.8% | 10.1% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Langdon Wallace | 16.0% | 20.3% | 26.4% | 21.2% | 11.2% | 4.4% | 0.4% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 6.5% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 21.7% | 26.5% | 19.2% | 6.3% |
| Johnny Leadingham | 4.7% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 19.1% | 27.3% | 22.7% | 9.9% |
| Ralph Molinari | 2.9% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 17.8% | 31.6% | 28.3% |
| Laura Jayne | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 21.0% | 54.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.