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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Washington0.43+1.58vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.50+2.94vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-0.64+2.34vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-1.43+3.65vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.82+0.78vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-0.90+0.02vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.41-2.39vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-1.01-1.64vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.13-5.02vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-1.38-2.55vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.77-5.48vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.24-0.91vs Predicted
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14University of Washington-1.04-6.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58University of Washington0.430.2%1st Place
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5.94Western Washington University-0.500.1%1st Place
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6.34University of California at Berkeley-0.640.1%1st Place
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8.65University of Washington-1.430.0%1st Place
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6.78University of Washington-0.820.1%1st Place
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7.02University of California at Berkeley-0.900.1%1st Place
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5.61University of Washington-0.410.1%1st Place
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7.36Western Washington University-1.010.1%1st Place
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4.98Western Washington University-0.130.1%1st Place
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8.45University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
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6.52University of Washington-0.770.1%1st Place
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12.09University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.240.0%1st Place
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7.69University of Washington-1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Miller | 22.3% | 19.5% | 16.1% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Hurley | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Ethan Lisle | 7.1% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Renee Chien | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 18.6% | 6.5% |
| Jeffrey Kriegh | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 1.7% |
| Aivan Durfee | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 1.6% |
| Sammy Farkas | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Anna Morrow | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 3.1% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 12.8% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Sadie Creemer | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 18.0% | 6.8% |
| Liam Boettcher | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| Emma Frank | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 9.8% | 73.0% |
| Kieran Lyons | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.