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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of California at Berkeley-0.64+4.32vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.50+2.98vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-0.90+3.16vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.43-1.47vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.41-0.43vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-1.43+1.54vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.82-1.24vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.13-4.16vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-1.01-2.50vs Predicted
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11University of Washington-0.77-4.34vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon-1.38-3.69vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.24-0.92vs Predicted
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14University of Washington-1.04-6.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.32University of California at Berkeley-0.640.1%1st Place
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5.98Western Washington University-0.500.1%1st Place
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7.16University of California at Berkeley-0.900.0%1st Place
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3.53University of Washington0.430.2%1st Place
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5.57University of Washington-0.410.1%1st Place
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8.54University of Washington-1.430.0%1st Place
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6.76University of Washington-0.820.1%1st Place
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4.84Western Washington University-0.130.1%1st Place
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7.5Western Washington University-1.010.1%1st Place
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6.66University of Washington-0.770.1%1st Place
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8.31University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
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12.08University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.240.0%1st Place
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7.73University of Washington-1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Lisle | 8.4% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Caroline Hurley | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Aivan Durfee | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 1.9% |
| Maxwell Miller | 23.0% | 19.7% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sammy Farkas | 10.6% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Renee Chien | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 17.9% | 6.6% |
| Jeffrey Kriegh | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 2.0% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 11.8% | 15.1% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Anna Morrow | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 3.3% |
| Liam Boettcher | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 1.5% |
| Sadie Creemer | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 5.5% |
| Emma Frank | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 9.8% | 73.5% |
| Kieran Lyons | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.