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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.72+1.28vs Predicted
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2Fordham University0.69+0.15vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+0.12vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+0.24vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-1.30-0.36vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-2.56+0.11vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-1.97-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28Hampton University0.7233.1%1st Place
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2.15Fordham University0.6935.7%1st Place
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3.12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.1515.8%1st Place
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4.24SUNY Stony Brook-0.606.7%1st Place
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4.64Princeton University-1.304.5%1st Place
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6.11Syracuse University-2.561.2%1st Place
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5.46Rutgers University-1.973.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 33.1% | 28.9% | 21.1% | 12.1% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| James Owen | 35.7% | 31.4% | 19.1% | 10.2% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Langdon Wallace | 15.8% | 18.2% | 27.5% | 21.2% | 12.2% | 4.5% | 0.7% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 6.7% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 22.6% | 25.3% | 17.0% | 5.9% |
| Johnny Leadingham | 4.5% | 6.2% | 10.7% | 19.8% | 26.2% | 23.6% | 9.0% |
| Laura Jayne | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 12.5% | 19.9% | 56.4% |
| Ralph Molinari | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 17.0% | 33.6% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.