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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.76+6.92vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.67+6.34vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston4.61+2.04vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland4.16+2.62vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.43+0.56vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.54+3.12vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.68+1.41vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.50+0.93vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.92-1.34vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College3.83-2.25vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.80+0.88vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-3.28vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.93-1.57vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-3.95vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.29-5.07vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-2.18vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.79-5.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.92Dartmouth College3.760.1%1st Place
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8.34Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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5.04College of Charleston4.610.1%1st Place
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6.62St. Mary's College of Maryland4.160.1%1st Place
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5.56Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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9.12Old Dominion University3.540.1%1st Place
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8.41Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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8.93Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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7.66University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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7.75Eckerd College3.830.1%1st Place
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11.88University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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8.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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11.43University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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10.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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9.93Tufts University3.290.0%1st Place
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13.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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11.83University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebecca Dellenbaugh | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Allison Blecher | 14.7% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sara Morgan Watters | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Anne Haeger | 13.7% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Katrina Williams | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Maggie Shea | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Claire Dennis | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% |
| Amy Hawkins | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Cara Vavolotis | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 16.7% | 14.6% |
| Caroline Patten | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 11.5% |
| Krysta Rohde | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% |
| Catherine Swanson | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% |
| Jamie Curran | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 16.1% | 35.0% |
| Amanda Johnson | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.