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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.72+1.31vs Predicted
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2Fordham University0.69+0.11vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+0.10vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+0.34vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-1.30-0.41vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-2.56+0.02vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-1.97-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.31Hampton University0.7231.2%1st Place
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2.11Fordham University0.6938.8%1st Place
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3.1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.1515.2%1st Place
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4.34SUNY Stony Brook-0.606.5%1st Place
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4.59Princeton University-1.304.8%1st Place
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6.02Syracuse University-2.561.5%1st Place
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5.54Rutgers University-1.972.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Stefano Palamara | 31.2% | 29.0% | 23.4% | 11.2% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
James Owen | 38.8% | 29.0% | 18.9% | 10.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
Langdon Wallace | 15.2% | 20.4% | 26.3% | 21.1% | 12.1% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
Rose von Eckartsberg | 6.5% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 22.4% | 24.4% | 19.0% | 7.0% |
Johnny Leadingham | 4.8% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 19.1% | 27.1% | 22.4% | 8.7% |
Laura Jayne | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 11.9% | 21.9% | 52.8% |
Ralph Molinari | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 10.0% | 17.8% | 31.2% | 30.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.