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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.72+0.93vs Predicted
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2Fordham University-0.99+1.87vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-0.26vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-1.30+0.33vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-0.60-1.04vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-1.97-0.75vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-2.56-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.93Hampton University0.7246.9%1st Place
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3.87Fordham University-0.9910.2%1st Place
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2.74U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.1522.2%1st Place
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4.33Princeton University-1.306.7%1st Place
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3.96SUNY Stony Brook-0.608.3%1st Place
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5.25Rutgers University-1.973.7%1st Place
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5.91Syracuse University-2.562.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 46.9% | 27.5% | 15.8% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Sheeran | 10.2% | 13.9% | 16.2% | 22.2% | 18.9% | 13.8% | 5.0% |
| Langdon Wallace | 22.2% | 27.0% | 21.9% | 16.4% | 8.8% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Johnny Leadingham | 6.7% | 10.0% | 15.0% | 17.1% | 23.2% | 19.1% | 8.9% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 8.3% | 12.8% | 18.8% | 20.2% | 18.8% | 15.7% | 5.3% |
| Ralph Molinari | 3.7% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 17.1% | 27.7% | 27.5% |
| Laura Jayne | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 20.2% | 52.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.