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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.72+0.97vs Predicted
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2Fordham University-0.99+1.88vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-0.35vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+0.04vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-1.30-0.60vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-1.97-0.78vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-2.56-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.97Hampton University0.7244.9%1st Place
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3.88Fordham University-0.9910.2%1st Place
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2.65U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.1522.8%1st Place
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4.04SUNY Stony Brook-0.608.8%1st Place
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4.4Princeton University-1.306.8%1st Place
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5.22Rutgers University-1.974.1%1st Place
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5.84Syracuse University-2.562.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 44.9% | 27.8% | 16.2% | 8.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Sheeran | 10.2% | 13.6% | 17.3% | 20.4% | 19.4% | 13.5% | 5.5% |
| Langdon Wallace | 22.8% | 29.0% | 22.1% | 15.6% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 8.8% | 11.2% | 16.5% | 20.3% | 22.3% | 15.4% | 5.4% |
| Johnny Leadingham | 6.8% | 9.0% | 14.2% | 18.2% | 21.2% | 20.3% | 10.2% |
| Ralph Molinari | 4.1% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 16.7% | 28.0% | 27.0% |
| Laura Jayne | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 19.3% | 51.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.