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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.58+1.79vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-0.13+4.17vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.32+0.35vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.66+0.61vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.85-0.90vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.44-1.02vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-1.01+0.86vs Predicted
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8Oregon State University-0.93-0.17vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.81-1.30vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon-2.19-2.14vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-0.46-6.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79Western Washington University1.580.3%1st Place
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6.17Western Washington University-0.130.1%1st Place
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3.35University of Washington1.320.2%1st Place
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4.61University of Washington0.660.1%1st Place
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4.1Western Washington University0.850.1%1st Place
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4.98University of Washington0.440.1%1st Place
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7.86University of Oregon-1.010.0%1st Place
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7.83Oregon State University-0.930.0%1st Place
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7.7University of Washington-0.810.0%1st Place
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9.86University of Oregon-2.190.0%1st Place
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6.75University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leif Hauge | 29.2% | 22.1% | 17.9% | 14.2% | 8.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 13.3% | 6.4% | 1.6% |
| Benjamin Stone | 18.9% | 20.8% | 18.2% | 15.9% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 10.6% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Adam Turloff | 14.3% | 15.3% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Kirin Dhaka | 8.6% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Rowan Clinch | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 17.7% | 23.7% | 10.8% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 22.0% | 11.6% |
| Alice Meng | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 15.0% | 18.9% | 17.5% | 11.0% |
| Euseekers Williams | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 15.5% | 59.2% |
| Emily Avey | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 10.5% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.