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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.32+2.28vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-0.13+4.21vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.85+1.26vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.66+0.66vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-1.01+3.00vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University-0.93+1.93vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.81+0.47vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.44-3.15vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon-2.19-0.14vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-0.46-4.22vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University1.58-9.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28University of Washington1.320.2%1st Place
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6.21Western Washington University-0.130.1%1st Place
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4.26Western Washington University0.850.1%1st Place
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4.66University of Washington0.660.1%1st Place
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8.0University of Oregon-1.010.0%1st Place
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7.93Oregon State University-0.930.0%1st Place
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7.47University of Washington-0.810.0%1st Place
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4.85University of Washington0.440.1%1st Place
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9.86University of Oregon-2.190.0%1st Place
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6.78University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
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2.7Western Washington University1.580.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Stone | 20.2% | 20.6% | 18.8% | 15.1% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 7.6% | 1.9% |
| Adam Turloff | 12.1% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 16.6% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 9.8% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 16.2% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Rowan Clinch | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 14.4% | 15.5% | 24.2% | 12.6% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 18.8% | 20.6% | 12.0% |
| Alice Meng | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 17.2% | 17.2% | 15.9% | 8.8% |
| Kirin Dhaka | 9.4% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Euseekers Williams | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 15.3% | 60.2% |
| Emily Avey | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 16.0% | 11.6% | 3.9% |
| Leif Hauge | 31.1% | 24.6% | 17.1% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.