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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.58+1.61vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.32+1.00vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.85+0.96vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.66+0.34vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-1.01+2.73vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.94+1.64vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-0.46-0.58vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.13-2.24vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.81-1.62vs Predicted
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10Oregon State University-0.93-2.52vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-2.19-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61Western Washington University1.580.3%1st Place
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3.0University of Washington1.320.2%1st Place
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3.96Western Washington University0.850.1%1st Place
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4.34University of Washington0.660.1%1st Place
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7.73University of Oregon-1.010.0%1st Place
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7.64University of Washington-0.940.0%1st Place
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6.42University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
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5.76Western Washington University-0.130.1%1st Place
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7.38University of Washington-0.810.0%1st Place
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7.48Oregon State University-0.930.0%1st Place
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9.67University of Oregon-2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leif Hauge | 29.4% | 25.6% | 19.3% | 13.6% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stone | 24.0% | 22.7% | 19.1% | 14.3% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Turloff | 13.7% | 14.2% | 17.4% | 15.1% | 15.5% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 11.0% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 16.2% | 16.5% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Clinch | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 17.3% | 18.9% | 12.1% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 17.1% | 11.3% |
| Emily Avey | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 3.6% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 5.2% | 0.9% |
| Alice Meng | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 15.6% | 15.9% | 8.8% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 17.0% | 17.2% | 8.3% |
| Euseekers Williams | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 15.9% | 55.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.