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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.32+2.07vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.66+2.22vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.94+4.71vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.58-1.33vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.85-1.12vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-0.46+0.64vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.13-1.29vs Predicted
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8Oregon State University-0.93-0.53vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.81-1.62vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon-2.19-0.35vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-1.01-3.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.07University of Washington1.320.2%1st Place
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4.22University of Washington0.660.1%1st Place
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7.71University of Washington-0.940.0%1st Place
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2.67Western Washington University1.580.3%1st Place
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3.88Western Washington University0.850.2%1st Place
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6.64University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
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5.71Western Washington University-0.130.1%1st Place
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7.47Oregon State University-0.930.0%1st Place
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7.38University of Washington-0.810.0%1st Place
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9.65University of Oregon-2.190.0%1st Place
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7.59University of Oregon-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Stone | 22.2% | 22.6% | 18.4% | 15.3% | 11.5% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 11.4% | 13.4% | 16.7% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 18.7% | 18.4% | 11.0% |
| Leif Hauge | 30.0% | 23.8% | 19.0% | 13.6% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Turloff | 15.4% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 17.6% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emily Avey | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 15.4% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 3.8% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 15.1% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 1.7% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 18.2% | 8.6% |
| Alice Meng | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 15.9% | 15.2% | 9.6% |
| Euseekers Williams | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 14.2% | 54.9% |
| Rowan Clinch | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 17.9% | 16.3% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.