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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.58+1.65vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.32+1.02vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon-1.01+4.85vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.85-0.01vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.94+2.55vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.66-1.71vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.13-1.26vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-2.19+1.64vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.81-1.65vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon-0.46-3.52vs Predicted
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11Oregon State University-0.93-3.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.65Western Washington University1.580.3%1st Place
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3.02University of Washington1.320.2%1st Place
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7.85University of Oregon-1.010.0%1st Place
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3.99Western Washington University0.850.1%1st Place
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7.55University of Washington-0.940.0%1st Place
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4.29University of Washington0.660.1%1st Place
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5.74Western Washington University-0.130.1%1st Place
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9.64University of Oregon-2.190.0%1st Place
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7.35University of Washington-0.810.0%1st Place
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6.48University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
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7.43Oregon State University-0.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leif Hauge | 28.7% | 24.2% | 20.7% | 13.1% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stone | 23.9% | 22.6% | 17.8% | 15.9% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Clinch | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 18.9% | 18.9% | 12.0% |
| Adam Turloff | 13.2% | 14.9% | 16.4% | 17.0% | 14.4% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 17.4% | 11.3% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 11.9% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 16.4% | 14.9% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 1.6% |
| Euseekers Williams | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 15.5% | 54.5% |
| Alice Meng | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 7.6% |
| Emily Avey | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 14.7% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 3.7% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 17.2% | 15.8% | 9.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.