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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.58+1.62vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.85+1.87vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.32+0.11vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.13+2.04vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.94+2.60vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-1.01+1.79vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-0.46-0.58vs Predicted
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8Oregon State University-0.93-0.52vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-2.19+0.72vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.81-2.78vs Predicted
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11University of Washington0.66-6.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.62Western Washington University1.580.3%1st Place
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3.87Western Washington University0.850.1%1st Place
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3.11University of Washington1.320.2%1st Place
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6.04Western Washington University-0.130.0%1st Place
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7.6University of Washington-0.940.0%1st Place
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7.79University of Oregon-1.010.0%1st Place
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6.42University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
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7.48Oregon State University-0.930.0%1st Place
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9.72University of Oregon-2.190.0%1st Place
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7.22University of Washington-0.810.0%1st Place
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4.11University of Washington0.660.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leif Hauge | 30.8% | 24.0% | 18.3% | 14.1% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Turloff | 14.1% | 16.6% | 17.4% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stone | 21.2% | 21.9% | 21.0% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 15.7% | 16.2% | 13.5% | 9.7% | 5.4% | 1.7% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 17.5% | 19.1% | 9.3% |
| Rowan Clinch | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 19.6% | 12.2% |
| Emily Avey | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 8.1% | 3.2% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 18.0% | 8.7% |
| Euseekers Williams | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 57.8% |
| Alice Meng | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 16.5% | 15.8% | 14.7% | 7.0% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 13.3% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 16.6% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.