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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.72+0.90vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+2.06vs Predicted
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3Fordham University-0.99+0.81vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-1.29vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-1.30-0.71vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-1.97-0.71vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-2.56-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.9Hampton University0.7246.7%1st Place
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4.06SUNY Stony Brook-0.608.2%1st Place
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3.81Fordham University-0.9910.3%1st Place
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2.71U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.1522.4%1st Place
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4.29Princeton University-1.307.2%1st Place
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5.29Rutgers University-1.973.1%1st Place
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5.95Syracuse University-2.562.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 46.7% | 30.1% | 13.8% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 8.2% | 11.6% | 17.1% | 20.9% | 20.8% | 14.9% | 6.6% |
| Brendan Sheeran | 10.3% | 13.6% | 19.4% | 20.0% | 19.5% | 12.7% | 4.5% |
| Langdon Wallace | 22.4% | 28.1% | 22.7% | 14.7% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Johnny Leadingham | 7.2% | 8.9% | 15.2% | 20.5% | 21.1% | 18.2% | 8.7% |
| Ralph Molinari | 3.1% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 17.0% | 30.3% | 26.1% |
| Laura Jayne | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 20.0% | 53.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.