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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Washington-1.04+2.42vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.41+0.44vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.50-0.44vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.43-2.77vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-1.38-0.90vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-2.42-0.37vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-1.01-3.51vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-1.04-4.58vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-2.09-4.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.42University of Washington-1.040.1%1st Place
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3.44University of Washington-0.410.2%1st Place
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3.56Western Washington University-0.500.2%1st Place
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2.23University of Washington0.430.4%1st Place
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5.1University of Oregon-1.380.1%1st Place
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6.63University of Oregon-2.420.0%1st Place
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4.49Western Washington University-1.010.1%1st Place
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4.42University of Washington-1.040.1%1st Place
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6.13University of Oregon-2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Dougherty | 8.4% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 16.5% | 16.7% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Sammy Farkas | 16.0% | 18.7% | 19.5% | 18.2% | 13.6% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Hurley | 15.5% | 17.9% | 17.6% | 16.9% | 16.3% | 9.5% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Miller | 39.6% | 25.3% | 17.7% | 11.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Creemer | 5.7% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 20.2% | 17.3% | 11.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 12.3% | 20.1% | 46.8% | 0.0% |
| Anna Morrow | 9.3% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 18.1% | 16.5% | 12.6% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Dougherty | 8.4% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 16.5% | 16.7% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Molly McLeod | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 16.5% | 26.6% | 28.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.